Reports

The Interpreneur survey: Understanding mid-market business trends in Germany

Europe’s largest economy, Germany, has been affected significantly by shifts in the global economy, from supply chain challenges, to the long-road to recovery for China. These impacts have made Germany businesses less keen to take advantage of prevailing economic winds as the global marketplace moves towards the black this year.

To understand how this landscape is affecting mid-market businesses, we recently surveyed 1,400 C-suite business leaders in 14 countries, in private sector companies earning up to £300m a year that have expanded internationally. We call these CEOs ‘interpreneurs’.

We have analysed the German data against the global outlook to get a better understanding of what drives German interpreneurs, moving against challenging landscape.


This report provides useful and important insight into the considerations for SME business leaders who are looking to or have already expanded overseas. There is clearly a slightly less optimistic outlook for future worldwide expansion by German business leaders; however, for most, expansion clearly has been beneficial.

In Germany, there is a comprehensive and solid understanding of global tax regulations worldwide. Nevertheless, entrepreneurs should always keep this point in mind and always be aware of the different regional legal frameworks and review this regularly wherever they operate. In this way, global legal changes that will come into force in the near future can be taken into account at an early stage.

Andreas Wiedmann
Andreas Wiedmann
Partner, partner
Kreston Bancbach

Global business trends: Do German business leaders believe more businesses will expand overseas in the next 12 months?

Significantly increase 25%
Moderately increase 46%
No change 17%
Moderately decrease 1%
Significantly decrease 11%
Not sure 25%

German CEOs pessimistic about overseas business expansion

A cautious tale was revealed in Germany’s responses, with just 71% believing there will be an increase in business expansion. A stark difference to Nigeria’s optimistic score of 98%, putting Germany towards the bottom of the optimism chart.


Which markets do German businesses prefer to expand into?

Which, if any, of the following regions or countries would you / your business considering expanding to? (Select all that apply)
Western Europe (e.g. Germany, France, UK, etc) 51%
Eastern Europe (e.g. Poland, Hungary, Romania, etc) 46%
North America (e.g. USA, Canada, Mexico, etc) 35%
South America (e.g. Brazil, Chile, Colombia, etc) 21%
North Asia (e.g. China, Japan, Korea, etc) 20%
South Asia (e.g. Thailand, Vietnam, Singapore, etc) 16%
Australia/New Zealand 8%
Middle East 6%
Africa 4%

Western Europe is Germany’s number one choice for global expansion

With supply chain challenges and a slow-to-recover economy after a pre-Covid over-reliance on China for trade, it is perhaps no surprise to see Europe as Germany’s emphatic choice for expansion.

  • 46% also said their business would consider expanding in Eastern Europe, the highest response rate across all 14 countries.
  • 35% said their business would consider expanding to North America, one of the lowest scores for the region.
    • Only 4% would consider expanding to Africa, again one of the lowest scores for the region.

What makes a country more attractive to German businesses looking to expand globally?

Which, if any, of the following would make a country most attractive for international expansion? [Select up to five]
Future economic growth prospects 42%
Skills and talent (e.g. availability of local talent and openness to skilled talent immigration) 32%
Tech infrastructure and digitalisation 32%
Alignment with long-term growth strategy (e.g. regional investment into specific industries) 29%
Government support (e.g. grants, incubators, and mentorship programs) 29%
Favorable tax policies 26%
Favorable trade agreements (e.g. free trade zones, diplomatic partnerships, or preferential tariff treatment) 24%
Transparent regulatory environment 24%
Cultural and language similarity to existing operations 23%
Geographic proximity to existing operations 22%

Economic growth prospects primary motivator

Germany tracked with the global response, which was future economic growth prospects, however they were the least likely of all countries surveyed to be influenced by favourable trade agreements.

This was followed by:

  • Skills and talent (e.g. availability of local talent and openness to skilled talent immigration)- 32%
  • Tech infrastructure and digitalisation 32%
  • Alignment with long-term growth strategy (e.g. regional investment into specific industries)- 29%

What motivates German interpreneurs to expand internationally?

What were the primary motivators for your business expanding internationally? [Select up to three]
Market growth opportunities: Accessing new customer segments 43%
Competitive advantage: Gaining a foothold in new markets before rivals 33%
Cost optimization: Leveraging lower production/resource costs 29%
Diversification: Reducing dependence on any single market 28%
Resourcing: Manufacturing, supply chain or other resourcing opportunities 21%
Existing personal network abroad 21%
Government incentives in host country (including regulatory framework and tax incentives) 20%
Access to digital technologies and innovation 19%
Talent acquisition: Recruiting skilled employees from a broader pool 19%

43% of German respondents identified market growth opportunities as the primary motivation for their businesses to expand internationally. Meanwhile, 33% were driven by the prospect of gaining a competitive advantage by entering new markets ahead of their rivals. Additionally, 29% cited cost optimisation, such as leveraging lower production and resource costs, as a key factor in their decision to expand abroad.


What are the biggest international expansion challenges in 2024 according to German Interpreneurs?

Top 3 biggest challenges during international expansion process
Finding the right local partners (e.g. building reliable and trustworthy relationships) 36%
Adapting logistics and supply chain issues (e.g. managing international shipping, distribution, and communication) 32%
Understanding complex compliance requirements (e.g. ESG and legal compliance) 32%

Finding local partners a challenge to doing business internationally say German CEOs

Only Germany and Brazil named finding the right local partner as their number one challenge to doing business internationally.


What do German CEOs think are the biggest risks to global business expansion in 2024?

How much of a risk do the following pose to your business’s international expansion or planned international expansion?

Escalating geopolitical tensions and instability Disruptive risk 11%
Significant risk 21%
Moderate risk 30%
Minimal risk 29%
No risk 7%
Not Sure / Not applicable 2%
Economic slowdown or recession Disruptive risk 12%
Significant risk 28%
Moderate risk 29%
Minimal risk 23%
No risk 5%
Not Sure / Not applicable 3%
Financial market and foreign exchange volatility Disruptive risk 10%
Significant risk 23%
Moderate risk 28%
Minimal risk 29%
No risk 9%
Not Sure / Not applicable 1%
Cybersecurity threats and data breaches Disruptive risk 9%
Significant risk 27%
Moderate risk 30%
Minimal risk 22%
No risk 9%
Not Sure / Not applicable 3%
Talent shortages and skilled labour gaps Disruptive risk 8%
Significant risk 30%
Moderate risk 25%
Minimal risk 25%
No risk 8%
Not Sure / Not applicable 4%
Technological disruption from AI and new technologies Disruptive risk 8%
Significant risk 26%
Moderate risk 26%
Minimal risk 24%
No risk 13%
Not Sure / Not applicable 3%
Environmental disruption and extreme weather Disruptive risk 9%
Significant risk 19%
Moderate risk 34%
Minimal risk 28%
No risk 8%
Not Sure / Not applicable 2%

Economic slowdown biggest risk to German businesses

According to the survey, 40% of respondents felt that an economic slowdown or recession poses a disruptive or significant risk to their business’s international expansion plans, with 12% identifying it as a disruptive risk and 28% as a significant risk. Conversely, 28% perceived this as a minimal or non-existent risk. Additionally, 38% of respondents expressed concerns about talent shortages and skilled labour gaps as disruptive or significant risks, while 36% highlighted similar concerns regarding cybersecurity threats and data breaches.


Which is the preferred international expansion funding source for German businesses?

Private investors (including HNWIs) 46%
Government funding 36%
Employee equity schemes 34%
Private investors (including HNWIs) 46%
Capital markets (i.e. IPO) 25%
Venture capital or private equity 25%
Management buyout 19%
Debt 19%
Crowdfunding 11%

Private investors financing German businesses international expansion

The data indicates a strong inclination towards private financing among German businesses for international expansion, driven by the desire for flexibility, control, and possibly the availability of substantial private capital within the country. 36% reported using/ considering using government funding for international expansion.

Other common sources of growth capital were:

  • Employee equity schemes- 34%
  • Capital markets (i.e. IPO)- 25%
  • Venture capital or private equity- 25%

Understanding global tax: Is the C-suite ready for a global tax threshold?

How confident are you in your understanding of the global international tax rules (for example transfer pricing, VAT) that govern multinational businesses?
Extremely confident: I have a deep understanding of global tax rules and their implications for multinational businesses 29%
Confident: I have a good grasp of key principles and can navigate common scenarios, but may seek external guidance for complex situations 60%
Not very confident: My understanding of global tax rules is limited, and I rely heavily on external advisors for guidance and analysis 10%
Not confident at all: I lack knowledge of international tax regulations and rely entirely on external advisors for their advice, guidance, and/or decision-making 1%

Better local experts could be the answer for global taxation for German businesses

Germany, along with four other countries, consider themselves lacking the knowledge needed to understand international tax regulations, having half the confidence of the most confident country when it comes to understanding global tax, the US.


The growing importance of ESG for German investors & interpreneurs

The importance of ESG considerations

We do / would prioritise ESG 18%
We do / would value ESG, but it wouldn’t be our top priority 40%
We do / would consider ESG practices but if only if they don’t interfere with our other priorities 32%
We don’t / wouldn’t strongly consider ESG practices 6%
We don’t / wouldn’t consider ESG practices at all 2%
Not sure 2%

German business leaders not placing ESG as a top priority

Germany had one of the lowest scores when prioritising ESG practices, with a score of only 18% against highest score of 64% in China. There was a similar picture across Europe, with Germany, France and Spain being the least likely to prioritise ESG when expanding internationally.


The benefits of AI in international business operations

AI readiness

To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement: ‘I feel prepared to harness the benefits of AI in global business operations within the next two years?
Strongly agree 35%
Somewhat agree 49%
Neither agree nor disagree 13%
Somewhat disagree 3%

German businesses feel less confident about the use of AI in global operations than global average

Germany was again in the bottom third when it came to feeling ready to harness the benefits of AI.


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